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CP

CENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORP (CPF)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 GAAP EPS was $0.42 (net income $11.3M), impacted by a $9.9M pre-tax loss from an investment portfolio repositioning; non-GAAP adjusted EPS was $0.70 with NIM expanding 10 bps to 3.17% and core deposits +$74.2M QoQ .
  • The securities repositioning is expected to add ~$2.7M to annual NII and ~4 bps to NIM with an estimated earn-back of ~3.5 years, setting up further margin improvement; December MTD NIM was 3.29% with deposit costs down to 1.14% .
  • Balance sheet trends were constructive: core deposits rose to $6.04B, total deposits +$61M QoQ, and total loans decline narrowed (down 0.2% QoQ); credit stayed solid with NPAs at 0.15% of assets and ACL/loans at 1.11% .
  • Capital return stepped up: dividend raised 3.8% to $0.27 and a new $30M buyback authorized for 2025; CPB also became a Federal Reserve member bank (effective Jan 24, 2025) .
  • Wall Street (S&P Global) quarterly consensus for EPS and revenue was unavailable at the time of analysis (API limit), so we cannot quantify a beat/miss this quarter; qualitatively, margin and core funding trends were better than feared and are key stock catalysts into 2025 [Values retrieved from S&P Global unavailable due to access limits].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • NIM and funding costs: NIM rose to 3.17% (+10 bps QoQ) as average deposit costs fell 11 bps to 1.21%; December MTD NIM was 3.29% and deposit cost 1.14% .
  • Core deposit growth and mix: Core deposits increased $74.2M QoQ to $6.04B; total deposits +$61M QoQ with favorable DDA growth (seasonal DDA +~$40M) and lower reliance on government time deposits .
  • Strategic repositioning for future earnings: Sold $106.5M of lower-yield AFS securities (2.1% yield) and reinvested at ~4.9%, expected to add ~$2.7M annual NII and ~4 bps NIM (earn-back ~3.5 years) .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP earnings optics: The $9.9M pre-tax securities loss suppressed GAAP EPS ($0.42 vs $0.70 non-GAAP), and the efficiency ratio rose to 75.65% (64.65% adjusted) .
  • Modest loan contraction and asset quality normalization: Loans fell 0.2% QoQ (now $5.33B) and NPAs rose YoY to $11.0M (0.15% of assets), with NCOs at 29 bps annualized (two idiosyncratic C&I credits contributed ~$0.6M) .
  • Lower noninterest income: Other operating income fell to $2.6M, driven by the securities loss; adjusted OOI would have been $12.6M without the repositioning .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($MM)$66.31 $63.26 (51.92 + 11.34) $66.59 (53.85 + 12.73) $58.40 (55.77 + 2.62)
Net Interest Income ($MM)$51.14 $51.92 $53.85 $55.77
Other Operating Income ($MM)$15.17 $12.12 $12.73 $2.62
Net Income ($MM)$14.87 $15.82 $13.31 $11.35
Diluted EPS ($)$0.55 $0.58 $0.49 $0.42
NIM (%)2.84% 2.97% 3.07% 3.17%
Efficiency Ratio (%)64.12% 64.26% 70.12% 75.65%

Notes: Total revenue shown as NII + other operating income; Q2/Q3/Q4 values per CPF tables .

Non-GAAP (for context):

  • Adjusted EPS: Q3 2024 $0.58; Q4 2024 $0.70 .
  • Adjusted efficiency ratio: Q3 2024 65.51%; Q4 2024 64.65% .

Balance sheet and funding

MetricQ4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Loans ($MM)$5,438.98 $5,383.64 $5,342.61 $5,332.85
Total Deposits ($MM)$6,847.59 $6,582.46 $6,583.01 $6,644.01
Core Deposits ($MM)$5,986.20 $5,912.17 $5,966.03 $6,040.20
Avg Deposit Cost (%)1.22% 1.33% 1.32% 1.21%

Credit KPIs

MetricQ4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
NPAs ($MM)$7.01 $10.26 $11.60 $11.02
NPAs / Assets (%)0.09% 0.14% 0.16% 0.15%
ACL / Loans (%)1.18% 1.16% 1.15% 1.11%
Net Charge-offs ($MM)$5.54 $3.76 $3.62 $3.82
NCOs / Avg Loans (annualized)0.41% 0.28% 0.27% 0.29%

Deposit mix (period-end)

Category ($MM)Q3 2024Q4 2024
Noninterest-bearing Demand$1,838.01 $1,888.94
Interest-bearing Demand$1,255.38 $1,338.72
Savings & Money Market$2,336.32 $2,329.17
Time ≤ $250k$536.32 $483.38
Other Time > $250k$492.22 $500.69
Government Time$124.76 $103.11
Total Deposits$6,583.01 $6,644.01

Estimates versus actuals

MetricConsensus (S&P Global)Actual Q4 2024
EPS ($)N/A$0.42
Total Revenue ($MM)N/A$58.40

Note: S&P Global consensus data was unavailable due to access limits at the time of analysis; beat/miss cannot be determined. Values retrieved from S&P Global unavailable due to access limits.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Dividend per share (quarterly)Q1 2025$0.26 (Q4 2024) $0.27 (declared Jan 28, 2025) Raised
Share repurchase authorization2025Prior program (remaining $19.1M as of 9/30/24) New $30M authorization for 2025 Increased / new program
Other operating expense run-rateNear-term (Q1 2025)Not previously specified~$42.5–$43.5M per quarter New run-rate
Effective tax rate2025+22–24% (Q3 commentary) 21–23% going forward Lowered
Net interest margin2025 trajectoryLong-term range 2.80–3.30% discussed previously Cautiously higher; Dec MTD NIM 3.29% Improving trajectory (qualitative)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
NIM trajectoryGuided 3.00–3.10% near-term; swap contributing; deposit costs stable 3.07%; guided 3.10–3.20% next 1–2 qtrs 3.17%; Dec MTD 3.29%; optimism to exceed prior range Improving
Deposit costs/competitionTotal deposit cost ~1.33%; core growth focus Cost 1.32%; promo CDs down with Fed cuts Cost 1.21%; Dec 1.14%; core DDA growth (seasonal ~$40M) Improving
Loan growth outlookSlower demand; expect modest 2H growth Demand muted; pipeline building into 2025 Pipeline “very healthy”; growth expected in C&I and CRE in 2025 Turning positive
Credit qualityNCOs 28 bps; NPAs 0.14% assets NCOs 27 bps; NPAs 0.16% NCOs 29 bps; NPAs 0.15%; idiosyncratic C&I items Stable/benign
Capital/returnsNo buybacks; dividend $0.26 No buybacks; flexible for repurchases Dividend to $0.27; new $30M buyback More shareholder-friendly
Macro HawaiiConstruction/defense strong; tourism lagging Japan Similar tone; Kahului branch opened Construction strong; unemployment 3%; tourism improving Gradual improvement

Management Commentary

  • CEO on 2024 and setup: “Key contributors to our success in 2024 included strong NIM expansion and core deposit growth, along with very healthy levels of liquidity, asset quality and capital.”
  • CFO on repositioning: “We sold $106.5 million in securities… recognized a pretax loss of $9.9 million… projected to increase prospective annualized net interest income by $2.7 million and net interest margin by 4 basis points.”
  • CFO on margin trajectory: “December month-to-date NIM was 3.29%, loan yield 4.95%, and total deposit cost… 1.14%... we’re cautiously optimistic that the margin will be higher.”
  • CRO on credit: “Net charge-offs were $3.8 million or 29 basis points… increase came from losses on 2 credits in the C&I segment totaling $600,000… consumer net charge-offs trend lower.”
  • CEO on growth: “We began to see loan opportunities pick up… pipeline for Q1 is very healthy… growth in commercial and commercial real estate.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Loan growth pacing and mix: Management expects 2025 loan growth led by C&I and CRE as proactive banker outreach and added lenders translate into a “very healthy” Q1 pipeline .
  • Deposits and funding costs: Strong execution drove core deposit growth and lower costs; seasonality aided DDA by ~$40M in Q4; management still sees further funding-side opportunities .
  • Expense outlook and operating leverage: Near-term other operating expense guided to ~$42.5–$43.5M per quarter, with positive operating leverage expected in 2025 as revenues outpace expenses .
  • Margin runway: Team believes prior 2.80–3.30% NIM range may be conservative after two quarters of 10 bps sequential gains; December MTD NIM 3.29% .
  • Credit details: Q4 increase in NCOs partly due to two idiosyncratic C&I items; consumer credit trends improving from the 2023 peak .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable at the time of analysis due to an access limit, so a beat/miss versus Street cannot be quantified this quarter. Values retrieved from S&P Global unavailable due to access limits.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin momentum is real and broadening: deposit costs fell 11 bps and repositioning adds ~4 bps, with December MTD NIM at 3.29%—positioning CPF to potentially exceed its prior 3.30% high-end range in 2025 .
  • Core funding strength remains a differentiator: +$74.2M QoQ core deposits, total deposit cost 1.21% (Dec 1.14%) supports spread resilience versus peers in a competitive market .
  • Loan growth inflecting: pipeline “very healthy” with focus on C&I and CRE; even modest net growth layered on current repricing tailwinds is accretive to NIM .
  • Credit is benign and well reserved: NPAs at 0.15% of assets, ACL/loans at 1.11%, and NCOs elevated modestly by isolated C&I items—no systemic issues flagged .
  • Sharper capital return profile: dividend up to $0.27 and a new $30M buyback point to confidence in earnings/capital build; Fed membership streamlines oversight .
  • Near-term expense discipline: OOE run-rate ~$42.5–$43.5M provides visibility for positive operating leverage as NII grows faster than costs .
  • Trading setup: With improving margin trajectory, core funding defensibility, and rising capital returns, CPF’s narrative skews positively into 2025; watch quarterly NIM progression, core DDA trends, and loan growth realization to gauge upside durability .

Additional Relevant Press Releases (Q4 window)

  • Conference call details (Jan 15): earnings release and webcast logistics .
  • Board addition (Jan 28): Appointment of Dr. Diane Paloma to CPF and CPB Boards .